Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 3.196036 3.749485 4.389923 5.190493 6.170955 7.340926 8.855163
2024-12-29 2.363459 3.048655 3.938185 5.197193 6.965403 9.409877 13.134244
2025-01-05 1.915422 2.620988 3.606086 5.118316 7.448419 11.020740 17.157139
2025-01-12 1.667764 2.393229 3.467981 5.233530 8.178634 13.124913 22.605867
2025-01-19 1.437615 2.141114 3.233287 5.128075 8.501971 14.621432 27.526167
2025-01-26 1.345209 2.079458 3.274571 5.467523 9.648855 17.885389 37.191065
2025-02-02 1.248415 1.992711 3.254992 5.688807 10.624291 21.115026 48.306298
2025-02-09 1.172457 1.927712 3.258506 5.947348 11.732840 24.985781 63.026389
2025-02-16 1.085171 1.829769 3.185534 6.038580 12.507446 28.361108 78.396936
2025-02-23 1.013983 1.750708 3.134365 6.161685 13.383896 32.308563 98.108064
2025-03-02 0.931936 1.640986 3.007570 6.097406 13.796772 35.183349 116.283280
2025-03-09 0.876971 1.576039 2.960274 6.200398 14.658872 39.693419 144.305959
2025-03-16 0.788851 1.446661 2.784759 6.028248 14.907929 42.984910 173.201008
2025-03-23 0.722697 1.355363 2.681494 6.024962 15.689732 48.700093 222.347074
2025-03-30 0.659342 1.260723 2.554578 5.931525 16.178554 53.729727 276.272745
2025-04-06 0.619824 1.210677 2.519093 6.068859 17.450921 62.714788 372.520080
2025-04-13 0.568645 1.128890 2.397262 5.943128 17.816047 68.234372 457.408391
2025-04-20 0.553256 1.123860 2.456973 6.348154 20.228966 85.257912 691.246142
2025-04-27 0.531042 1.100389 2.467506 6.612655 22.263752 102.538367 1001.207067
2025-05-04 0.512421 1.082769 2.489931 6.922139 24.653637 124.637677 1495.802088
2025-05-11 0.486514 1.044655 2.452852 7.031460 26.268388 144.051799 2090.545620
2025-05-18 0.464339 1.012978 2.428307 7.179065 28.159557 168.135393 3009.515969
2025-05-25 0.435865 0.962571 2.344919 7.101981 28.956380 185.264289 3967.813918